A New Era of Transatlantic Relations

In a world of shifting geopolitical dynamics, the relationship between Europe and the United States stands at a crossroads. For decades, the transatlantic alliance has been the cornerstone of both sides’ security, economic growth, and global stability. Yet, recent shifts in U.S. foreign policy, particularly under transactional diplomatic strategies, have forced Europe to reexamine its position within the alliance.

The wake-up call has been clear: while the U.S. has long been the security guarantor for Europe, the time has come for Europe to become more self-reliant and assertive in its defence posture. The question now is not whether Europe and the U.S. should remain allies, but how they can rebalance their relationship to ensure mutual respect, shared responsibility, and long-term stability.

This article explores how Europe and the U.S. can heal from past tensions, acknowledge their roles, and forge a new chapter in transatlantic cooperation; one that benefits both parties and strengthens their role on the global stage.

The Past: A Relationship Built on Trust and Dependence

The U.S. has long been the primary military and economic partner for Europe, providing the security umbrella through NATO and ensuring European stability, especially after World War II and during the Cold War. This relationship, built on mutual trust, has served both sides well for decades. For Europe, it was a strategic advantage to rely on the military and economic prowess of the U.S. in exchange for political alignment and military cooperation.

However, as the global security landscape evolved, Europe’s dependence on U.S. defence guarantees has created a subtle but significant imbalance. The focus on American leadership in NATO and other security frameworks, while practical at the time, has led to a gradual erosion of Europe’s own defence capabilities. Europe has too often looked to Washington for answers, overlooking the necessity of developing its own independent military and strategic capabilities.

Simultaneously, the U.S. strategy has been partly rooted in maintaining its global dominance by keeping Europe within its sphere of influence. America’s defence commitments to Europe were often framed not just as security guarantees, but also as a way to ensure its political and strategic control over the region. This arrangement, while beneficial in some respects, left Europe in a position of over-reliance on U.S. leadership, leading to the current moment of reckoning.

The Present: A Wake-Up Call for Europe and America

The recent policy shifts in Washington, including the push for Europe to pay for more of its own defence and the suggestion that the U.S. may not always be there for Europe, have caused ripples of uncertainty across the continent. In response, Europe has stepped up with the Rearm Europe initiative, a bold plan to invest €800 billion in defence and ensure that Europe becomes more self-reliant.

While this is a necessary step towards European autonomy, it also reflects the deeper emotional and political tension that has emerged in the wake of the U.S. demands. Europe is now facing the reality that it cannot afford to be complacent, however this realization brings with it a sense of betrayal, a recognition that Europe’s strategic thinking may have been flawed for decades.

On the U.S. side, the rhetoric around “Europe stepping up” may feel like a demand for greater accountability, but it also carries a subtle implication of being taken for granted. After years of investing resources, manpower, and political capital into Europe’s defence, the U.S. may feel that Europe has become too comfortable with the status quo. The need for a more transactional approach, where Europe takes on more of the defence burden, is a reflection of this growing frustration.

Both sides are facing the hard truths of a relationship that, while once unshakeable, now feels strained and uncertain. But this moment of tension can be a catalyst for growth if both parties acknowledge their roles in the relationship’s current state.

Healing and Moving Forward: Acknowledgment and Forgiveness

The road to a balanced transatlantic relationship begins with honesty and self-reflection. Europe must come to terms with the fact that over-relying on the U.S. for defence was a short-term solution that overlooked the long-term necessity of strategic independence. Europe needs to forgive itself for this dependency, recognizing that the shift towards self-reliance is not just about national pride, but about strengthening its future security.

The U.S. must also acknowledge its role in creating this dependency. Its strategy of guaranteeing European security, while undoubtedly necessary in the past, has inadvertently contributed to Europe’s reliance. By positioning Europe as a strategic partner rather than an ally in need of protection, the U.S. can help foster a future where Europe is not just a recipient of security guarantees but a co-equal contributor to the broader defence of the Western alliance.

This process of acknowledgment and forgiveness will not happen overnight. But by addressing the emotional scars of the past and accepting responsibility for their actions, both sides can begin to heal and rebuild trust. Only by releasing past grievances can the U.S. and Europe embrace a future of shared responsibility and mutual respect.

The Path Ahead: A Balanced Partnership

The future of transatlantic relations must be one of mutual respect, where both Europe and the U.S. contribute equally to global security and economic prosperity. Europe’s increasing defence investments and desire for autonomy are positive steps, but they should not be seen as a dissolution of the partnership, rather, they should be viewed as a reaffirmation of the alliance’s value.

A balanced relationship means that Europe takes greater responsibility for its defence, but also remains an active participant in global decision-making, NATO operations, and multilateral efforts. The U.S. will continue to play a critical role, but not as the sole provider of security. Instead, it will act as a strategic partner, supporting Europe’s defence efforts, while also collaborating in areas of intelligence, technology, and economic diplomacy.

This balanced relationship will empower both Europe and the U.S. to tackle global threats together, from the rise of authoritarianism to climate change and technological warfare. The U.S. can focus on its global engagements, while Europe defends its immediate neighbourhood and contributes to international stability.

A New Chapter for Transatlantic Relations

As Europe and the U.S. navigate the complexities of their evolving relationship, there is hope for a future that is not defined by dependency, but by partnership. Both sides must recognize their roles in shaping the past and forgive one another for the mistakes made. Only then can they move forward with a renewed sense of trust and shared purpose.

In the end, this healing process is not just about patching up old wounds, but about creating a stronger, more resilient alliance that reflects the changing realities of the 21st century. By lifting each other up, Europe and the U.S. can emerge from this period of tension stronger together, ready to face the challenges ahead, not as unequal partners, but as equals in a shared mission for a better, more secure world.

The author is an economic historian and founder of Anday AB, advising on strategic networking and stakeholder engagement across politics, defence, and international affairs.