The Risk with a Narrow Focus

In today’s increasingly complex international landscape, the West is consumed by a limited set of high-stakes crises, with the Israel–Palestine conflict taking center stage. While undeniably significant, this concentrated attention, has left a strategic vacuum increasingly filled by rising powers like: China, Russia, Iran, North Korea (CRINK) as well as India.

As Western policymakers and media focus on certain flashpoints, other critical regions, like Africa, are undergoing profound shifts in in political, economic, and military influence that often escape both media coverage and diplomatic capacity. These changes are quietly reshaping the global order.

The CRINK countries have a well-documented record of manipulating information and shaping narratives to serve their interests. They have repeatedly demonstrated the ability to steer Western attention toward issues that align with their strategic goals. The question now is whether today’s intense attention on a few high-profile crises is part of such deliberate manipulation, allowing them to act in Africa largely unseen, or whether they are simply exploiting the West’s preoccupation to expand their influence without interference.

Strategic Maneuvers and Disinformation: The Geopolitical Battle for Africa

As the West remains absorbed in crises elsewhere, the CRINK-countries and India are quietly but decisively reshaping Africa’s geopolitical future. Through a blend of economic investments, strategic alliances, military presence, and disinformation, these countries are positioning themselves to dominate the continent’s economic and political landscape for decades to come.

At the heart of these efforts lies China’s ambitious Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), which has cemented its control over key African infrastructure, including 78 ports across 32 nations. But China’s engagement in Africa extends beyond infrastructure: through economic investments and military agreements, China is securing access to critical resources vital to global supply chains. The nation’s first overseas military base in Djibouti symbolizes the growing security dimension of its African presence. While the West remains distracted, China’s expanding footprint in Africa is creating strategic dependencies that will be hard to reverse.

Simultaneously, Russia is deepening its influence, capitalizing on instability in Africa. Following the dissolution of the Wagner Group in 2023, Russia now operates through its military intelligence (GRU) under the guise of the Africa Corps. In exchange for military support, Russia is securing critical resources like gold, uranium, and oil, all while offering a “regime survival package” to African governments. Its operations in Mali, the Central African Republic, and Sudan involve not just arms but disinformation campaigns that stoke anti-Western sentiment and consolidate Moscow’s hold in Africa’s most volatile regions.

India, meanwhile, offers a contrasting approach, one grounded in diplomacy and sustainable development. By leveraging its historical ties to Africa and focusing on non-interventionist partnerships, India is gaining influence in sectors like energy, technology, and infrastructure. It has earned favour by championing African representation at the UN Security Council, positioning itself as a reliable, stable partner in contrast to the more aggressive models of foreign influence.

Iran, though less visible, is expanding its influence in North Africa, particularly in nations like Libya, Sudan, and Somalia. By aligning with anti-Western factions and providing military support, Iran is reshaping regional power dynamics, subtly carving out a space for itself where the West has been preoccupied with other global conflicts.

A Geopolitical Vacuum

As this article highlights the risks of focusing too narrowly on a few crises while neglecting broader global shifts. Africa is a top example of what happens when an entire continent is left to navigate its future largely on its own. The continent’s economic rise which is fueled by its vast natural resources and growing youth population has attracted the attention of rising powers eager to secure long-term influence. Through strategic alliances, economic leverage, and disinformation campaigns, China, Russia, India, and Iran are quietly reshaping Africa’s political and economic landscape, mainly undisturbed by the Global North.

These powers are strengthening their influence with the African countries, and the continent is becoming an increasingly important battleground in the fight for global dominance. With Western eyes elsewhere, Africa’s growing role in the future balance of power is being quietly shaped out of sight and beyond immediate scrutiny.

Conclusion: The Strategic Consequences of Narrow Focus

While the Israel–Palestine conflict and other high-profile crises undoubtedly deserve attention, the West’s concern with these issues comes at a cost. In keeping our gaze set on a few areas of the world, we risk ignoring critical regions like Africa, which is increasingly exposed to influence and manipulation by powers such as China, Russia, and Iran. These countries are quietly reshaping Africa’s political and economic landscape, largely unimpeded by the West’s narrowed focus.

The issue is not, which regions deserve attention, but whether the West is capable of recognizing more than one crisis at a time? While we are emotionally consumed by a selected few global events, the world continues to evolve. Yet, we turn a blind eye to regions like Africa, regions suffering from both growing conflicts, humanitarian crises and geopolitical importance. Moreover, these ongoing struggles are too often overlooked by media and policymakers as well as the public.

The world is not waiting for us to see the whole picture; it is already being actively altered by others with long-term plans and clear intentions. Ones who recognize that the West’s attention elsewhere presents them with an opportunity to influence the future in their favour. Whether through disinformation, strategic distractions, or simply seizing the opportunity presented by the West’s preoccupation, these powers are advancing their long-term goals without significant resistance.

In addition to being a strategic failure, allowing authoritarian regimes to grow their power without opposition is a betrayal of human rights. Global norms for freedom and human rights will be in jeopardy if these countries keep changing the world to fit their own vision.

The real question is whether the West can afford to remain focused on selective conflicts while overlooking the broader shifts unfolding globally. To secure global stability, we must act before these shifts become irreversible.

The author is an economic historian and founder of Anday AB, advising on strategic networking and stakeholder engagement across politics, defence, and international affairs.