I lördags skrev Dr Davood Moradian, som är vad jag förstår en senior rådgivare till afghanske utrikesministern, en mycket intressant artikel om Afghanistans framtid. Dr Moradian väjer inte för egna eller andras tillkortakommanden, men ger också två möjliga slutlägen för Afghanistan. Antingen blir det Österns Turkiet eller Asiens Somalia.

Avslutningen låter: ”In light of growing uncertainty and pessimism, there is an urgent need for (re)articulating a new constructive meganarrative for Afghanistan. Unfortunately existing destructive and pessimistic narratives such as July 2011 withdrawal, transition, corruption, civilian casualty and peace with the Taliban have generated significant amount of negative energy and pessimism in Afghanistan and elsewhere. Only by articulating a positive mega narrative, we can prevail in the battle of perceptions and ensuing success on the ground.The outcomes of the two end states for Afghanistan have well been articulated by the following observation by a student of the Kabul University:

”If the world exports us terrorists, we will send them back more committed and ruthless terrorists as well as with dozen kilograms of hashish and opium. But if the world helps us, we will export new generation of Zoroaster, Maulana Jalal Din Balkhi[Rumi], Avicenna, Jamal- din- Afghan, Padshah Khan and juicy Kandahari pomegranates and premium Herati saffron.”

The choice is yours.”

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