Both the NATO Secretary-General and echoed by the Swedish commander-in-chief have in the last days warned against a possible escalation of the war against Ukraine.

But exactly what does this entail? The clickable mind map indicates that the international debate on the topic is rich and complicated. Clearly the issue graving itself is not only about the possible use of non-strategic nuclear weapons on Ukraine territory. There is also a possibility of horizontal escalation to the west (Moldova?) to the east -read Kazakhstan – as well as against NATO itself.

The point of departure for the Swedish analysis is as discussed when the new defence commission has been set up the existing Greyzone entrance of security involving Sweden and its neighbours. Michael Sahlin and Lars-Erik Lundin are discussing some of the issues involved in the podcast attached expecting a much broader discussion within the academy in the coming weeks and months.

https://youtu.be/1F3jmbMXwto